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19/20 August 2015

LABOR MAINTAINS LEAD IN QUEENSLAND

Queensland’s Labor Government has maintained its lead over the LNP and Annastacia Palaszczuk remains the clear choice as Premier of the state.

Election Jan 2015 8/9 Apr 2015 19/20 May 2015 19/20 Aug 2015
LNP 41.3% 42% 39% 39%
Labor 37.5% 39% 40% 40%
The Greens 8.4% 7% 9% 10%
Katter Australian Party 1.9% 3% 3% 4%
Another party or an independent candidate 10.9% 9% 9% 7%

6% uncommitted or refused excluded

Thinking about state politics. If a state election for Queensland was held today, which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred

Election Jan 2015 8/9 Apr 2015 19/20 May 2015 19/20 Aug 2015
LNP 48.9% 50% 48% 48%
Labor 51.1% 50% 52% 52%

*Antony Green estimate

Better Premier

Supporters
Total
19/20 May
2015
Total
19/20 Aug
2015
Labor LNP
Annastacia Palaszczuk 55% 52% 84% 17%
Lawrence Springborg 30% 32% 8% 68%
Uncommitted 15% 16% 8% 15%

Who do you think would make the better Premier?

These surveys were conducted by Galaxy Research. The most recent survey was administered on the evenings of 19 and 20 August 2015. The results are based on the opinions of 800 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the Queensland population.

Newspoll August 6-9

Primary Vote

Election Sep 7 2013 14/17 May 2015 28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015
Coalition 45.6% 40% 41% 40% 40% 40% 39%
Labor 33.3% 37% 37% 34% 37% 39% 39%
Greens 8.7% 12% 13% 14% 13% 12% 13%
Others 12.4% 11% 9% 12% 10% 9% 9%

6 per cent ‘uncommitted’ excluded

If a federal election for the House of Representatives was held today, which one of the following would you vote for? If ‘uncommitted’, to which one of these do you have a leaning?

Two party preferred

Election Sep 7 2013 14/17 May 2015 28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015
Coalition 53.5% 47% 48% 49% 48% 47% 46%
Labor 46.5% 53% 52% 51% 52% 53% 54%

Based on preference flow at September 2013 federal election

Abbott’s Performance

14/17 May 2015 28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015
Satisfied 39% 38% 34% 33% 33% 33%
Dissatisfied 52% 53% 56% 60% 60% 61%
Uncommitted 9% 9% 10% 7% 7% 6%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Tony Abbott is doing his job as Prime Minister?

Shorten’s Performance

14/17 May 2015 28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015
Satisfied 35% 32% 28% 28% 27% 29%
Dissatisfied 46% 50% 54% 56% 59% 57%
Uncommitted 19% 18% 18% 16% 14% 14%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Bill Shorten is doing his job as Leader of the Opposition?

Better Prime Minister

14/17 May 2015 28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015
Abbott 41% 41% 41% 39% 39% 38%
Shorten 40% 37% 38% 39% 36% 38%
Uncommitted 19% 22% 21% 22% 25% 24%

Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister?

These surveys were conducted in all states of Australia and in both city and country areas. The data has been weighted to reflect the population distribution. The latest survey is based on 1,727 interviews among voters. The maximum sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Copyright at all times remains with Newspoll.

Newspoll 16-19 July

Primary Vote

Election Sep 7 2013 1/3 May 2015 14/17 May 2015 28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015
Coalition 45.6% 39% 40% 41% 40% 40% 40%
Labor 33.3% 35% 37% 37% 34% 37% 39%
Greens 8.7% 12% 12% 13% 14% 13% 12%
Others 12.4% 14% 11% 9% 12% 10% 9%

7 per cent ‘uncommitted’ excluded

If a federal election for the House of Representatives was held today, which one of the following would you vote for? If ‘uncommitted’, to which one of these do you have a leaning?

Two party preferred

Election Sep 7 2013 1/3 May 2015 14/17 May 2015 28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015
Coalition 53.5% 48% 47% 48% 49% 48% 47%
Labor 46.5% 52% 53% 52% 51% 52% 53%

Based on preference flow at September 2013 federal election

Abbott’s Performance

1/3 May 2015 14/17 May 2015 28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015
Satisfied 37% 39% 38% 34% 33% 33%
Dissatisfied 56% 52% 53% 56% 60% 60%
Uncommitted 7% 9% 9% 10% 7% 7%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Tony Abbott is doing his job as Prime Minister?

Shorten’s Performance

1/3 May 2015 14/17 May 2015 28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015
Satisfied 34% 35% 32% 28% 28% 27%
Dissatisfied 50% 46% 50% 54% 56% 59%
Uncommitted 16% 19% 18% 18% 16% 14%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Bill Shorten is doing his job as Leader of the Opposition?

Better Prime Minister

1/3 May 2015 14/17 May 2015 28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015
Abbott 38% 41% 41% 41% 39% 39%
Shorten 38% 40% 37% 38% 39% 36%
Uncommitted 24% 19% 22% 21% 22% 25%

Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister?

These surveys were conducted in all states of Australia and in both city and country areas. The data has been weighted to reflect the population distribution. The latest survey is based on 1,638 interviews among voters. The maximum sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Copyright at all times remains with Newspoll.

Newspoll 2-5 July 2015

Primary Vote

Election Sep 7 2013 10/12 Apr 2015 1/3 May 2015 14/17 May 2015 28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015
Coalition 45.6% 41% 39% 40% 41% 40% 40%
Labor 33.3% 36% 35% 37% 37% 34% 37%
Greens 8.7% 11% 12% 12% 13% 14% 13%
Others 12.4% 12% 14% 11% 9% 12% 10%

9 per cent ‘uncommitted’ excluded

If a federal election for the House of Representatives was held today, which one of the following would you vote for? If ‘uncommitted’, to which one of these do you have a leaning?

Two party preferred

Election Sep 7 2013 10/12 Apr 2015 1/3 May 2015 14/17 May 2015 28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015
Coalition 53.5% 49% 48% 47% 48% 49% 48%
Labor 46.5% 51% 52% 53% 52% 51% 52%

Abbott’s Performance

10/12 Apr 2015 1/3 May 2015 14/17 May 2015 28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015
Satisfied 33% 37% 39% 38% 34% 33%
Dissatisfied 59% 56% 52% 53% 56% 60%
Uncommitted 8% 7% 9% 9% 10% 7%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Tony Abbott is doing his job as Prime Minister?

Shorten’s Performance

10/12 Apr 2015 1/3 May 2015 14/17 May 2015 28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015
Satisfied 33% 34% 35% 32% 28% 28%
Dissatisfied 51% 50% 46% 50% 54% 56%
Uncommitted 16% 16% 19% 18% 18% 16%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Bill Shorten is doing his job as Leader of the Opposition?

Better Prime Minister

10/12 Apr 2015 1/3 May 2015 14/17 May 2015 28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015
Abbott 40% 38% 41% 41% 41% 39%
Shorten 41% 38% 40% 37% 38% 39%
Uncommitted 19% 24% 19% 22% 21% 22%

Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister?

These surveys were conducted in all states of Australia and in both city and country areas. The data has been weighted to reflect the population distribution. The latest survey is based on 1,631 interviews among voters. The maximum sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Copyright at all times remains with Newspoll.

19/20 May 2015

VOTERS WARMING TO PALASZCZUK GOVERNMENT

Voters are warming to the new Palaszczuk Government, with Labor opening up a lead over the LNP and most voters satisfied with the performance of the new Premier.

Election Jan 2015 8/9 Apr 2015 19/20 May 2015
LNP 41.3% 42% 39%
Labor 37.5% 39% 40%
The Greens 8.4% 7% 9%
Katter Australian Party 1.9% 3% 3%
Palmer United Party 5.1% 3% 3%
Another party or an independent candidate 5.8% 6% 6%

3% uncommitted or refused excluded

Thinking about state politics. If a state election for Queensland was held today, which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred

Election
Jan 2015*
8/9 Apr
2015
19/20 May
2015
LNP 48.9% 50% 48%
Labor 51.1% 50% 52%

*Antony Green estimate

Satisfaction with Premier

Supporters
Total
8/9 Apr
2015
Total
19/20 May
2015
Labor LNP
Satisfied 53% 59% 86% 34%
Dissatisfied 24% 27% 6% 50%
Uncommitted 23% 14% 8% 16%

Thinking now about the leaders of the parties. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Annastacia Palaszczuk is doing her job as Premier?

These surveys were conducted by Galaxy Research. The most recent survey was administered on the evenings of 19 and 20 May 2015. The results are based on the opinions of 800 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the Queensland population.

13/15 May 2015

FEDERAL COALITION NARROWED THE GAP

The federal Coalition has narrowed the gap on Labor. In the first post-Budget poll conducted by Galaxy, the Coalition is ahead of Labor on primary support and trail on two party preferred by just 4 points. This represents a significant turnaround from the Galaxy Polls conducted earlier in the year when Tony Abbott’s leadership was under threat.

Election Sept 2013 28/30 Jan 2015 4/5 Feb 2015 13/15 May 2015
Coalition 45.5% 36% 36% 41%
Labor Party 33.4% 43% 43% 39%
The Greens 8.7% 11% 11% 11%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 3% 3% 2%
Another party or an independent candidate 6.9% 7% 7% 7%

9% uncommitted or refused excluded

If a federal election for the house of representatives was held today, which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred

Election Sept 2013 28/30 Jan 2015 4/5 Feb 2015 13/15 May 2015
Coalition 53.5% 43% 43% 48%
The Labor Party 46.5% 57% 57% 52%

These surveys were conducted by Galaxy Research. The most recent survey was administered by a combination of online and telephone interviews between 13-15 May 2015. The results are based on the opinions of 1,683 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the Australian population.

24/25 March 2015

COALITION ENDS CAMPAIGN WITH BIG LEAD

Voter across New South Wales will put their trust in Mike Baird and re-elect the Coalition government on Saturday.

The Coalition leads 55% to 45% on a two party preferred basis in the last week of the campaign.

Primary Vote

Election Mar 2011 11/12 Mar 2015 18/19 Mar 2015 24/25 Mar 2015
The Labor Party 25.6% 36% 36% 34%
Coalition 51.1% 44% 45% 45%
The Greens 10.3% 10% 10% 11%
Another party or an independent candidate 13% 10% 9% 10%

3% uncommitted or refused excluded

Thinking about state politics. In the state election to be held this Saturday, which one of the following are you most likely to vote for?

Two party preferred

Election Mar 2011 11/12 Mar 2015 18/19 Mar 2015 24/25 Mar 2015
The Labor Party 35.8% 46% 46% 45%
Coalition 64.2% 54% 54% 55%

These surveys were conducted by Galaxy Research. The most recent survey was administered on the evenings of 24-25 March 2015. The results are based on the opinions of 1,300 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the population of NSW.

18/19 March 2015

COALITION MAINTAIN LEAD IN NSW

The Coalition has maintained an election winning lead over the Labor Party despite losing the argument over the virtues of the planned privatisation of the state’s electricity assets.

Primary Vote

Election Mar 2011 18/19 Feb 2015 11/12 Mar 2015 18/19 Mar 2015
The Labor Party 25.6% 36% 36% 36%
Coalition 51.1% 43% 44% 45%
The Greens 10.3% 10% 10% 10%
Another party or an independent candidate 13% 11% 10% 9%

5% uncommitted or refused excluded

Thinking about state politics. If a state election for New South Wales was held today, which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred

Election Mar 2011 18/19 Feb 2015 11/12 Mar 2015 18/19 Mar 2015
The Labor Party 35.8% 47% 46% 46%
Coalition 64.2% 53% 54% 54%

Privatisation

18/19 Mar 2015
20/21 Aug 2014 21/22 Jan 2015 Total Labor Coalition
In favour 38% 39% 33% 8% 63%
Opposed 53% 51% 53% 80% 22%
Uncommitted 9% 10% 14% 12% 15%

Are you in favour or opposed to Mike Baird’s proposed plan to privatise 49% of NSW’s electricity networks through a 99 year lease sale to raise more than $20 billion which will be used to improve the state’s transport system?

These surveys were conducted by Galaxy Research. The most recent survey was administered on the evenings of 18-19 March 2015. The results are based on the opinions of 908 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the population of NSW.

19 March 2015

LIBERAL SUPPORT HOLDING UP IN KEY SEATS

The Liberal Party is ahead in some of the key seats that many expect to be within reach for the Labor Party.

These are the main findings of the latest Galaxy Poll conducted in the seats of Campbelltown (swing required 6.8%), Coogee (8.3%) and The Entrance (11.8%).

In all seats polled primary support for Labor has improved since the last election, with increases ranging from around 7 percentage points in Campbelltown to around 10 points in Coogee and The Entrance.

However, Liberal support is holding up at levels similar to those achieved at the last election.

Following the allocation of preferences the swing to Labor in each electorate is;

The Entrance 10.8%
Coogee 6.3%
Campbelltown 5.8%

These fall just short of the swing required for Labor to win these seats.

This survey was conducted by Galaxy Research on 19 March 2015. The results are based on the opinions of 514 voters in Campbelltown, 550 voters in Coogee and 535 voters in The Entrance. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the population of each electorate.

11/12 Mar 2015

COALITION MAINTAIN LEAD DESPITE OPPOSITION TO POLES AND WIRES PLAN

The Coalition has maintained a lead over the Labor Party despite voters rejecting Mike Baird’s plan to lease 49% of the electricity poles and wires to pay for infrastructure.

Primary Vote

Election Mar 2011 21/22 Jan 2015 18/19 Feb 2015 11/12 Mar 2015
The Labor Party 25.6% 36% 36% 36%
Coalition 51.1% 45% 43% 44%
The Greens 10.3% 11% 10% 10%
Another party or an independent candidate 13% 8% 11% 10%

9% uncommitted or refused excluded

Thinking about state politics. If a state election for New South Wales was held today, which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred

Election Mar 2011 21/22 Jan 2015 18/19 Feb 2015 11/12 Mar 2015
The Labor Party 35.8% 46% 47% 46%
Coalition 64.2% 54% 53% 54%

Upper House obligated to pass poles and wires legislation

Supporters
Total Labor Coalition
Yes 32% 19% 55%
No 48% 65% 28%
Uncommitted 20% 16% 17%

If Mike Baird wins the election, do you believe the Upper House is obligated to pass his legislation to lease 49 per cent of the electricity poles and wires to pay for infrastructure?

These surveys were conducted by Galaxy Research. The most recent survey was administered using a combination of online and telephone interviews on 11 March and 12 March 2015. The results are based on the opinions of 820 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the population of NSW.


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