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Fairfax Poll – 21 Jan 2016

PALMER TO BE DUMPED BY VOTERS IN FAIRFAX

Clive Palmer has failed to live up to the expectations of the voters in Fairfax and is likely to be dumped at the next federal election. With only 7% of voters in the seat satisfied with his performance as their local Member of Parliament, support for the party has slumped.

Primary vote

Election Sep 2013 21 Jan 2016
LNP 41.3% 50%
Labor 18.2% 27%
Palmer United Party 26.5% 2%
The Greens 8.3% 11%
Katter Australian Party 1.9% 1%
Other candidates 3.8% 9%

1% uncommitted or refused excluded

If a federal election for the house of representatives was held today, which one of the following would you vote for?

Satisfaction with Clive Palmer

Total
Satisfied 7%
Dissatisfied 83%
Uncommitted 10%

Thinking now about the performance of Clive Palmer. Overall, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the performance of Clive Palmer as your Member of Parliament?

This survey was conducted by Galaxy Research on the evening of 21 January 2016. The results are based on the opinions of 506 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the population of the Fairfax electorate.

Newspoll November 19-22

Primary Vote

Election Sep 7 2013 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015 8/11 Oct 2015 22/25 Oct 2015 5/8 Nov 2015 19/22 Nov 2015
Coalition 45.6% 39% 44% 43% 45% 46% 46%
Labor 33.3% 39% 35% 35% 35% 34% 33%
Greens 8.7% 12% 11% 12% 11% 10% 11%
Others 12.4% 10% 10% 10% 9% 10% 10%

5 per cent ‘uncommitted’ excluded

If a federal election for the House of Representatives was held today, which one of the following would you vote for? If ‘uncommitted’, to which one of these do you have a leaning?

Two party preferred

Election Sep 7 2013 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015 8/11 Oct 2015 22/25 Oct 2015 5/8 Nov 2015 19/22 Nov 2015
Coalition 53.5% 46% 51% 50% 52% 53% 53%
Labor 46.5% 54% 49% 50% 48% 47% 47%

Based on preference flow at September 2013 federal election

Abbott/ Turnbull’s Performance

3/6 Sep 2015 17/20* Sep 2015 8/11 Oct 2015 22/25 Oct 2015 5/8 Nov 2015 19/22 Nov 2015
Satisfied 30% 42% 50% 58% 56% 60%
Dissatisfied 63% 24% 25% 23% 24% 22%
Uncommitted 7% 34% 25% 19% 20% 18%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Malcolm Turnbull is doing his job as Prime Minister?

* Prior to 17-20 September question referred to Tony Abbott

Shorten’s Performance

3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015 8/11 Oct 2015 22/25 Oct 2015 5/8 Nov 2015 19/22 Nov 2015
Satisfied 30% 29% 28% 26% 27% 26%
Dissatisfied 58% 54% 53% 58% 57% 57%
Uncommitted 12% 17% 19% 16% 16% 17%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Bill Shorten is doing his job as Leader of the Opposition?

Better Prime Minister

3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015* 8/11 Oct 2015* 22/25 Oct 2015* 5/8 Nov 2015* 19/22 Nov 2015*
Abbott/ Turnbull 37% 55% 57% 63% 61% 64%
Shorten 41% 21% 19% 17% 18% 15%
Uncommitted 22% 24% 24% 20% 21% 21%

Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister?

* Prior to 17-20 September question referred to Tony Abbott

These surveys were conducted in all states of Australia and in both city and country areas. The data has been weighted to reflect the population distribution. The latest survey is based on 1,573 interviews among voters. The maximum sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Copyright at all times remains with Newspoll.

Newspoll November 5-8

Primary Vote

Election Sep 7 2013 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015 8/11 Oct 2015 22/25 Oct 2015 5/8 Nov 2015
Coalition 45.6% 38% 39% 44% 43% 45% 46%
Labor 33.3% 39% 39% 35% 35% 35% 34%
Greens 8.7% 13% 12% 11% 12% 11% 10%
Others 12.4% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 10%

6 per cent ‘uncommitted’ excluded

If a federal election for the House of Representatives was held today, which one of the following would you vote for? If ‘uncommitted’, to which one of these do you have a leaning?

Two party preferred

Election Sep 7 2013 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015 8/11 Oct 2015 22/25 Oct 2015 5/8 Nov 2015
Coalition 53.5% 46% 46% 51% 50% 52% 53%
Labor 46.5% 54% 54% 49% 50% 48% 47%

Based on preference flow at September 2013 federal election

Abbott/ Turnbull’s Performance

20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20* Sep 2015 8/11 Oct 2015 22/25 Oct 2015 5/8 Nov 2015
Satisfied 30% 30% 42% 50% 58% 56%
Dissatisfied 63% 63% 24% 25% 23% 24%
Uncommitted 7% 7% 34% 25% 19% 20%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Malcolm Turnbull is doing his job as Prime Minister?

* Prior to 17-20 September question referred to Tony Abbott

Shorten’s Performance

20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015 8/11 Oct 2015 22/25 Oct 2015 5/8 Nov 2015
Satisfied 34% 30% 29% 28% 26% 27%
Dissatisfied 52% 58% 54% 53% 58% 57%
Uncommitted 14% 12% 17% 19% 16% 16%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Bill Shorten is doing his job as Leader of the Opposition?

Better Prime Minister

20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015* 8/11 Oct 2015* 22/25 Oct 2015* 5/8 Nov 2015*
Abbott/ Turnbull 35% 37% 55% 57% 63% 61%
Shorten 40% 41% 21% 19% 17% 18%
Uncommitted 25% 22% 24% 24% 20% 21%

Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister?

* Prior to 17-20 September question referred to Tony Abbott

These surveys were conducted in all states of Australia and in both city and country areas. The data has been weighted to reflect the population distribution. The latest survey is based on 1,587 interviews among voters. The maximum sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Copyright at all times remains with Newspoll.

17/18 November 2015

LABOR TRAIL THE LNP IN QUEENSLAND

While Annastacia Palaszczuk is widely regarded as a better choice of Premier over Opposition Leader, Lawrence Springborg, support for the Labor Party has slipped in the latest Galaxy Poll and the Government now trails the LNP for the first time since their shock election win in January.

Primary Vote

Election Jan 2015 19/20 May 2015 19/20 Aug 2015 17/18 Nov 2015
LNP 41.3% 39% 39% 42%
Labor 37.5% 40% 40% 37%
The Greens 8.4% 9% 10% 9%
Katter Australian Party 1.9% 3% 4% 4%
Another party or an independent candidate 10.9% 9% 7% 8%

8% uncommitted or refused excluded

Thinking about state politics. If a state election for Queensland was held today, which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred

Election Jan 2015 19/20 May 2015 19/20 Aug 2015 17/18 Nov 2015
LNP 48.9% 48% 48% 51%
Labor 51.1% 52% 52% 49%

*Antony Green estimate

Better Premier

Supporters

19/20 May
2015

19/20 Aug
2015
Total
17/18 Nov
2015
Labor LNP
Annastacia Palaszczuk 55% 52% 54% 87% 25%
Lawrence Springborg 30% 32% 26% 4% 57%
Uncommitted 15% 16% 20% 9% 18%

Who do you think would make the better Premier?

These surveys were conducted by Galaxy Research. The most recent survey was administered on the evenings of 17 and 18 November 2015. The results are based on the opinions of 800 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the Queensland population.

Newspoll Oct 22-25

Primary Vote

Election Sep 7 2013 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015 8/11 Oct 2015 22/25 Oct 2015
Coalition 45.6% 39% 38% 39% 44% 43% 45%
Labor 33.3% 39% 39% 39% 35% 35% 35%
Greens 8.7% 13% 13% 12% 11% 12% 11%
Others 12.4% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9%

6 per cent ‘uncommitted’ excluded

If a federal election for the House of Representatives was held today, which one of the following would you vote for? If ‘uncommitted’, to which one of these do you have a leaning?

Two party preferred

Election Sep 7 2013 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015 8/11 Oct 2015 22/25 Oct 2015
Coalition 53.5% 46% 46% 46% 51% 50% 52%
Labor 46.5% 54% 54% 54% 49% 50% 48%

Based on preference flow at September 2013 federal election

Abbott/ Turnbull’s Performance

6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20* Sep 2015 8/11 Oct 2015 22/25 Oct 2015
Satisfied 33% 30% 30% 42% 50% 58%
Dissatisfied 61% 63% 63% 24% 25% 23%
Uncommitted 6% 7% 7% 34% 25% 19%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Malcolm Turnbull is doing his job as Prime Minister?

* Prior to 17-20 September question referred to Tony Abbott

Shorten’s Performance

6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015 8/11 Oct 2015 22/25 Oct 2015
Satisfied 29% 34% 30% 29% 28% 26%
Dissatisfied 57% 52% 58% 54% 53% 58%
Uncommitted 14% 14% 12% 17% 19% 16%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Bill Shorten is doing his job as Leader of the Opposition?

Better Prime Minister

6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015* 8/11 Oct 2015* 22/25 Oct 2015*
Abbott/ Turnbull 38% 35% 37% 55% 57% 63%
Shorten 38% 40% 41% 21% 19% 17%
Uncommitted 24% 25% 22% 24% 24% 20%

Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister?

* Prior to 17-20 September question referred to Tony Abbott

These surveys were conducted in all states of Australia and in both city and country areas. The data has been weighted to reflect the population distribution. The latest survey is based on 1,606 interviews among voters. The maximum sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Copyright at all times remains with Newspoll.

Newspoll 8-11 Oct

Primary Vote

Election Sep 7 2013 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015 8/11 Oct 2015
Coalition 45.6% 40% 39% 38% 39% 44% 43%
Labor 33.3% 39% 39% 39% 39% 35% 35%
Greens 8.7% 12% 13% 13% 12% 11% 12%
Others 12.4% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10%

6 per cent ‘uncommitted’ excluded

If a federal election for the House of Representatives was held today, which one of the following would you vote for? If ‘uncommitted’, to which one of these do you have a leaning?

Two party preferred

Election Sep 7 2013 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015 8/11 Oct 2015
Coalition 53.5% 47% 46% 46% 46% 51% 50%
Labor 46.5% 53% 54% 54% 54% 49% 50%

Based on preference flow at September 2013 federal election

Abbott/ Turnbull’s Performance

16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20* Sep 2015 8/11 Oct 2015
Satisfied 33% 33% 30% 30% 42% 50%
Dissatisfied 60% 61% 63% 63% 24% 25%
Uncommitted 7% 6% 7% 7% 34% 25%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Malcolm Turnbull is doing his job as Prime Minister?

* Prior to 17-20 September question referred to Tony Abbott

Shorten’s Performance

16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015 8/11 Oct 2015
Satisfied 27% 29% 34% 30% 29% 28%
Dissatisfied 59% 57% 52% 58% 54% 53%
Uncommitted 14% 14% 14% 12% 17% 19%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Bill Shorten is doing his job as Leader of the Opposition?

Better Prime Minister

16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015* 8/11 Oct 2015*
Abbott/ Turnbull 39% 38% 35% 37% 55% 57%
Shorten 36% 38% 40% 41% 21% 19%
Uncommitted 25% 24% 25% 22% 24% 24%

Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister?

* Prior to 17-20 September question referred to Tony Abbott

These surveys were conducted in all states of Australia and in both city and country areas. The data has been weighted to reflect the population distribution. The latest survey is based on 1,631 interviews among voters. The maximum sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Copyright at all times remains with Newspoll.

Newspoll Sep 17-20

Primary Vote

Election Sep 7 2013 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015
Coalition 45.6% 40% 40% 39% 38% 39% 44%
Labor 33.3% 37% 39% 39% 39% 39% 35%
Greens 8.7% 13% 12% 13% 13% 12% 11%
Others 12.4% 10% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10%

6 per cent ‘uncommitted’ excluded

If a federal election for the House of Representatives was held today, which one of the following would you vote for? If ‘uncommitted’, to which one of these do you have a leaning?

Two party preferred

Election Sep 7 2013 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015
Coalition 53.5% 48% 47% 46% 46% 46% 51%
Labor 46.5% 52% 53% 54% 54% 54% 49%

Based on preference flow at September 2013 federal election

Abbott/ Turnbull’s Performance

2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20* Sep 2015
Satisfied 33% 33% 33% 30% 30% 42%
Dissatisfied 60% 60% 61% 63% 63% 24%
Uncommitted 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 34%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Malcolm Turnbull is doing his job as Prime Minister?

* Prior to 17-20 September question referred to Tony Abbott

Shorten’s Performance

2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015
Satisfied 28% 27% 29% 34% 30% 29%
Dissatisfied 56% 59% 57% 52% 58% 54%
Uncommitted 16% 14% 14% 14% 12% 17%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Bill Shorten is doing his job as Leader of the Opposition?

Better Prime Minister

2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015 17/20 Sep 2015*
Abbott/ Turnbull 39% 39% 38% 35% 37% 55%
Shorten 39% 36% 38% 40% 41% 21%
Uncommitted 22% 25% 24% 25% 22% 24%

Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister?

* Prior to 17-20 September question referred to Tony Abbott

These surveys were conducted in all states of Australia and in both city and country areas. The data has been weighted to reflect the population distribution. The latest survey is based on 1,645 interviews among voters. The maximum sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Copyright at all times remains with Newspoll.

Newspoll Sep 3-6

Primary Vote

Election Sep 7 2013 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015
Coalition 45.6% 40% 40% 40% 39% 38% 39%
Labor 33.3% 34% 37% 39% 39% 39% 39%
Greens 8.7% 14% 13% 12% 13% 13% 12%
Others 12.4% 12% 10% 9% 9% 10% 10%

6 per cent ‘uncommitted’ excluded

If a federal election for the House of Representatives was held today, which one of the following would you vote for? If ‘uncommitted’, to which one of these do you have a leaning?

Two party preferred

Election Sep 7 2013 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015
Coalition 53.5% 49% 48% 47% 46% 46% 46%
Labor 46.5% 51% 52% 53% 54% 54% 54%

Based on preference flow at September 2013 federal election

Abbott’s Performance

10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015
Satisfied 34% 33% 33% 33% 30% 30%
Dissatisfied 56% 60% 60% 61% 63% 63%
Uncommitted 10% 7% 7% 6% 7% 7%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Tony Abbott is doing his job as Prime Minister?

Shorten’s Performance

10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015
Satisfied 28% 28% 27% 29% 34% 30%
Dissatisfied 54% 56% 59% 57% 52% 58%
Uncommitted 18% 16% 14% 14% 14% 12%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Bill Shorten is doing his job as Leader of the Opposition?

Better Prime Minister

10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015 3/6 Sep 2015
Abbott 41% 39% 39% 38% 35% 37%
Shorten 38% 39% 36% 38% 40% 41%
Uncommitted 21% 22% 25% 24% 25% 22%

Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister?

These surveys were conducted in all states of Australia and in both city and country areas. The data has been weighted to reflect the population distribution. The latest survey is based on 1,655 interviews among voters. The maximum sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Copyright at all times remains with Newspoll.

15/16 SEP 2015

TURNBULL PROVIDES MUCH NEEDED BOOST FOR THE COALITION

The reinstatement of Malcolm Turnbull has provided a much needed boost to the Coalition. After trailing the Labor Party since the Budget in 2014, the Coalition has shot into the lead following a surge in support. In addition, after just a few days in the job Malcolm Turnbull enjoys a commanding lead over Bill Shorten on the question of better Prime Minister.

Primary Vote

Election Sep 2013 4/5 Feb 2015 13/15 May 2015 15/16 Sep 2015
Coalition 45.5% 36% 41% 44%
Labor Party 33.4% 43% 39% 36%
The Greens 8.7% 11% 11% 11%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 3% 2% 2%
Another party or an independent candidate 6.9% 7% 7% 7%

7% uncommitted or refused excluded

If a federal election for the house of representatives was held today, which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred

Election Sep 2013 4/5 Feb 2015 13/15 May 2015 15/16 Sep 2015
Coalition 53.5% 43% 48% 51%
Labor Party 46.5% 57% 52% 49%

Better Prime Minister

Supporters
Total Coalition Labor
Malcolm Turbull 51% 82% 27%
Bill Shorten 20% 4% 43%
Uncommitted 29% 14% 30%

Thinking about the leaders of the parties. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister?

These surveys were conducted by Galaxy Research. The most recent survey was administered by a combination of online and telephone interviews on 15-16 September 2015. The results are based on the opinions of 1,224 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the Australian population.

Newspoll August 20-23

Primary Vote

Election Sep 7 2013 28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015
Coalition 45.6% 41% 40% 40% 40% 39% 38%
Labor 33.3% 37% 34% 37% 39% 39% 39%
Greens 8.7% 13% 14% 13% 12% 13% 13%
Others 12.4% 9% 12% 10% 9% 9% 10%

6 per cent ‘uncommitted’ excluded

If a federal election for the House of Representatives was held today, which one of the following would you vote for? If ‘uncommitted’, to which one of these do you have a leaning?

Two party preferred

Election Sep 7 2013 28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015
Coalition 53.5% 48% 49% 48% 47% 46% 46%
Labor 46.5% 52% 51% 52% 53% 54% 54%

Based on preference flow at September 2013 federal election

Abbott’s Performance

28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015
Satisfied 38% 34% 33% 33% 33% 30%
Dissatisfied 53% 56% 60% 60% 61% 63%
Uncommitted 9% 10% 7% 7% 6% 7%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Tony Abbott is doing his job as Prime Minister?

Shorten’s Performance

28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015
Satisfied 32% 28% 28% 27% 29% 34%
Dissatisfied 50% 54% 56% 59% 57% 52%
Uncommitted 18% 18% 16% 14% 14% 14%

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Bill Shorten is doing his job as Leader of the Opposition?

Better Prime Minister

28/31 May 2015 10/14 Jun 2015 2/5 Jul 2015 16/19 Jul 2015 6/9 Aug 2015 20/23 Aug 2015
Abbott 41% 41% 39% 39% 38% 35%
Shorten 37% 38% 39% 36% 38% 40%
Uncommitted 22% 21% 22% 25% 24% 25%

Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister?

These surveys were conducted in all states of Australia and in both city and country areas. The data has been weighted to reflect the population distribution. The latest survey is based on 1,706 interviews among voters. The maximum sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Copyright at all times remains with Newspoll.


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