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18/19 Feb 2015

COALITION CONTINUES TO HAVE UPPER HAND IN NSW

The Coalition continues to have the upper hand over Labor and Mike Baird is well ahead of Luke Foley on the question of the better Premier. However, support for the Coalition has slipped and Luke Foley has improved his standing in the latest Galaxy Poll

Primary Vote

Election Mar 2011 6/7 Jan 2015 21/22 Jan 2015 18/19 Feb 2015
The Labor Party 25.6% 36% 36% 36%
Coalition 51.1% 44% 45% 43%
The Greens 10.3% 11% 11% 10%
Another party or an independent candidate 13% 9% 8% 11%

6% uncommitted or refused excluded

Thinking about state politics. If a state election for New South Wales was held today, which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred

Election Mar 2011 6/7 Jan 2015 21/22 Jan 2015 18/19 Feb 2015
The Labor Party 35.8% 46% 46% 47%
Coalition 64.2% 54% 54% 53%

Better Premier

18/19 Feb 2015 Supporters
6/7 Jan 2015 Total Labor Coalition
Mike Baird 47% 46% 28% 72%
Luke Foley 16% 22% 35% 11%
Uncommitted 37% 32% 37% 17%

Who do you think would make the better Premier?

These surveys were conducted by Galaxy Research. The most recent survey was administered on the evenings of 18 and 19 February 2015. The results are based on the opinions of 923 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the population of NSW.

4/5 February 2015

TURNBULL COULD LIFT COALITION SUPPORT

Support for the Coalition remains at a record low on the eve of the leadership spill in Canberra but the latest Galaxy Poll suggests that the reinstatement of Malcolm Turnbull as leader of the Liberal Party would lift the flagging fortunes of the government.

Primary Vote

Election Sept 2013 2/4 Dec 2014 28/30 Jan 2015 4/5 Feb 2015
Coalition 45.5% 38% 36% 36%
Labor Party 33.4% 41% 43% 43%
The Greens 8.7% 11% 11% 11%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 4% 3% 3%
Another party or an independent candidate 6.9% 6% 7% 7%

6% uncommitted or refused excluded

If a federal election for the house of representatives was held today, which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred

Election Sept 2013 2/4 Dec 2014 28/30 Jan 2015 4/5 Feb 2015
Coalition 53.5% 45% 43% 43%
Labor Party 46.5% 55% 57% 57%

Primary vote with Malcolm Turnbull as leader

Total
Coalition 42%
Labor Party 38%
The Greens 10%
Palmer United Party 3%
Another party or an independent candidate 7%

8% uncommitted or refused excluded

If Malcolm Turnbull was leader of the Liberal Party which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred with Malcolm Turnbull as Liberal party leader

Total
Coalition 49%
Labor Party 51%

Primary vote with Julie Bishop as leader

Total
Coalition 39%
Labor Party 40%
The Greens 11%
Palmer United Party 3%
Another party or an independent candidate 7%

8% uncommitted or refused excluded

If Julie Bishop was leader of the Liberal Party which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred with Julie Bishop as Liberal party leader

Total
Coalition 47%
Labor Party 53%

These surveys were conducted by Galaxy Research. The most recent survey was administered by a combination of online and telephone interviews on 4-5 February 2015. The results are based on the opinions of 1,466 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the Australian population.

28/30 Jan 2015

SUPPORT FOR THE COALITION SLUMPS

Support for the Coalition has slumped following Tony Abbott’s ‘Captains pick’ in awarding Prince Philip a knighthood in the Australia Day Honours List. The widespread opposition to awarding Australia’s highest honour to a member of the British royal family has had a significant impact on the standing of Tony Abbott and his Coalition government.

Primary Vote

Election Sept 2013 30 Sept/2 Oct 2014 2/4 Dec 2014 28/30 Jan 2015
Coalition 45.5% 42% 38% 36%
Labor Party 33.4% 36% 41% 43%
The Greens 8.7% 12% 11% 11%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 4% 4% 3%
Another party or an independent candidate 6.9% 6% 6% 7%

8% uncommitted or refused excluded

If a federal election for the house of representatives was held today, which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred

Election Sept 2013 30 Sept/2 Oct 2014 2/4 Dec 2014 28/30 Jan 2015
Coalition 53.5% 49% 45% 43%
Labor Party 46.5% 51% 55% 57%

Better Prime Minister

28/30 Nov 2014 Supporters
23/25 July 2014 Total Coalition Labor
Tony Abbott 35% 27% 68% 6%
Bill Shorten 41% 44% 9% 76%
Uncommitted 24% 29% 23% 18%

Which one of the following do you believe would make the better Prime Minister?

Prince Philips knighthood

Supporters
Total Coalition Labor
Approve 14% 26% 7%
Disapprove 70% 55% 83%
Uncommitted 16% 19% 10%

Do you approve or disapprove of the decision by Tony Abbott to award a knighthood to the Queen’s husband, Prince Philip?

These surveys were conducted by Galaxy Research. The most recent survey was administered by a combination of online and telephone interviews between 28-30 January 2015. The results are based on the opinions of 1,452 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the Australian population.

21/22 Jan 2015

MIXED RESPONSE FOR FOLEY

There has been a mixed response to new Labor leader Luke Foley. While many voters applaud his initiative to safeguard the sale of lottery tickets through newsagents and small businesses, his confession concerning his record for illegal drink driving could cost Labor votes.

Primary Vote

Election Mar 2011 19/20 Nov 2014 6/7 Jan 2015 21/22 Jan 2015
The Labor Party 25.6% 34% 36% 36%
The Liberal Party 38.6% 40% 38% 39%
The Nationals 12.5% 6% 6% 6%
Total Coalition 51.1% 46% 44% 45%
The Greens 10.3% 11% 11% 11%
Another party or an independent candidate 13.0% 9% 9% 8%

5% uncommitted or refused excluded

Thinking about state politics. If a state election for New South Wales was held today, which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred

Election Mar 2011 19/20 Nov 2014 6/7 Jan 2015 21/22 Jan 2015
The Labor Party 35.8% 44% 46% 46%
Coalition 64.2% 56% 54% 54%

Drink Driving

Total
More likely to vote Labor 5%
Less likely to vote Labor 17%
Not affect vote 75%
Uncommitted 3%

Has Luke Foley’s confession that he has a record for illegal drink driving made you more likely to vote for Labor, less likely to vote Labor or will this not affect the way that you vote in the March state election?

Sale of lottery tickets

Supporters
Total Labor Coalition
Support 81% 87% 77%
Oppose 10% 6% 13%
Uncommitted 9% 7% 10%

Currently supermarkets are prevented from selling lottery tickets but this agreement is due to expire soon. Luke Foley has announced that he will continue this arrangement so that only newsagents and small businesses can sell lottery tickets. Do you support or oppose Labor’s plan to safeguard the sale of lottery tickets through newsagents and small businesses?

These surveys were conducted by Galaxy Research. The most recent survey was administered on the evenings of 21 and 22 January 2015. The results are based on the opinions of 954 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the population of NSW.

14 January 2015

LNP SEATS SET TO TUMBLE IN QUEENSLAND

The Newman Government looks set to lose many of the seats they won in the 2012 landslide election with Labor supporters that rejected the Bligh Government returning to the fold after three years under Campbell Newman.

These are the main findings of the latest Galaxy Poll conducted in the seats of Cairns, Barron River, Mulgrave, Greenslopes, Mundingburra, Thuringowa, Townsville and Pumicestone.

In all seats polled primary support for Labor has improved substantially since the last election and this has resulted in the following two party preferred swings;

Townsville 12.8%
Cairns 11.9%
Mundingburra 11.2%
Greenslopes 10.5%
Pumicestone 10.1%
Mulgrave 9.9%
Barron River 9.5%
Thuringowa 8.7%

If swings of this magnitude are observed at the ballot box then Labor would retain Mulgrave and win back Townsville, Cairns and Greenslopes. The Townsville seats of Mundingburra and Thuringowa would be close as would Barron River.

At this stage of the campaign, it is only in the seat of Pumicestone that the LNP sitting member, Lisa France, remains ahead.

This survey was conducted by Galaxy Research on 14 January 2015. The results are based on the opinions of 610 voters in Cairns, 700 voters in Barron River, 600 voters in Mulgrave, 511 voters in Greenslopes, 644 voters in Mundingburra, 696 voters in Thuringowa, 611 voters in Townsville and 567 voters in Pumicestone. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the population of each electorate.

7/8 Jan 2015

WELCOME BOOST FOR LNP FOLLOWING ELECTION ANNOUNCEMENT

The Newman Government has received a welcome boost in support following the announcement of a snap election. Support for the LNP has increased in the latest Galaxy Poll and they are considered better managers than the Labor Party for a range of key issues.

Primary Vote

Election Mar 2012 12/14 Aug 2014 18/19 Nov 2014 7/8 Jan 2015
LNP 49.7% 39% 37% 41%
Labor 26.7% 36% 38% 38%
The Greens 7.5% 7% 9% 8%
Katter Australian Party 11.5% 3% 3% 3%
Palmer United Party -% 12% 7% 3%
Another party or an independent candidate 4.6% 3% 6% 7%

6% uncommitted or refused excluded

If a state election for Queensland was held today, which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred

Election Mar 2012* 12/14 Aug 2014 18/19 Nov 2014 7/8 Jan 2015
LNP 62.8% 52% 50% 52%
Labor 37.2% 48% 50% 48%

* Malcolm Mackerras estimate

Best able to manage issue

The Queensland economy The environment Education
LNP 52% 34% 42%
Labor Party 36% 51% 47%
Uncommitted 12% 15% 11%
Health and public hospitals Law and order Public transport
LNP 46% 55% 44%
Labor Party 43% 35% 40%
Uncommitted 11% 10% 16%

Which of the two parties, the Newman led LNP or the Palaszczuk led Labor Party, do you think would be best able to manage each of the following.

These surveys were conducted by Galaxy Research. The most recent survey was administered on the evenings of 7 and 8 January 2015. The results are based on the opinions of 800 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the Queensland population.

6/7 Jan 2015

FOLEY GIVES LABOR A BOOST IN NSW

With the election due in March, Luke Foley has given the Labor Party a much needed boost. The change in leadership has improved Labor’s standing in NSW but they still trail the Coalition Government by a wide margin.

Primary Vote

Election Mar 2011 20/21 Aug 2014 19/20 Nov 2014 6/7 Jan 2015
The Labor Party 25.6% 35% 34% 36%
The Liberal Party 38.6% 40% 40% 38%
The Nationals 12.5% 5% 6% 6%
Total Coalition 51.1% 45% 46% 44%
The Greens 10.3% 11% 11% 11%
Another party or an independent candidate 13.0% 9% 9% 9%

9% uncommitted or refused excluded

Thinking about state politics. If a state election for New South Wales was held today, which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred

Election Mar 2011 20/21 Aug 2014 19/20 Nov 2014 6/7 Jan 2015
The Labor Party 35.8% 45% 44% 46%
Coalition 64.2% 55% 56% 54%

These surveys were conducted by Galaxy Research. The most recent survey was administered by a combination of online and telephone interviews on 6 and 7 January 2015. The results are based on the opinions of 832 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the population of NSW.

2/4 Dec 2014

SUPPORT FOR COALITION SLUMPS

Support for the Coalition has slumped with Labor now leading on primary support for the first time since the Abbott Government was elected. In addition, the performance of Joe Hockey since the handing down of the Coalition’s first Budget has led many voters to believe that Malcolm Turnbull would be a better choice as Treasurer.

Primary Vote

Election Sept 2013 23/25 July 2014 30 Sept/2 Oct 2014 2/4 Dec 2014
Coalition 45.5% 39% 42% 38%
Labor Party 33.4% 37% 36% 41%
The Greens 8.7% 11% 12% 11%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 7% 4% 4%
Another party or an independent candidate 6.9% 6% 6% 6%

9% uncommitted or refused excluded

If a federal election for the house of representatives was held today, which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred

Election Sept 2013 23/25 July 2014 30 Sept/2 Oct 2014 2/4 Dec 2014
Coalition 53.5% 48% 49% 45%
Labor Party 46.5% 52% 51% 55%

Better choice as Treasurer

Total Labor Coalition
Malcolm Turnbull 41% 53% 32%
Joe Hockey 22% 10% 42%
Uncommitted 37% 37% 26%

In your opinion who would be the better choice as Treasurer?

These surveys were conducted by Galaxy Research. The most recent survey was administered by a combination of online and telephone interviews between 2-4 December 2014. The results are based on the opinions of 1,406 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the Australian population.

25/26 Nov 2014

LABOR HOLD COMFORTABLE LEAD IN VICTORIA

Labor is holding a comfortable lead on the eve of the state election and Opposition Leader, Daniel Andrews, has narrowed the gap on Denis Napthine on the Better Premier question from 16 points at the end of October to just 3 points.

Primary Vote

Election Nov 2010 22/24 Oct 2014 18/19 Nov 2014 25/26 Nov 2014
The Liberal Party 38.0% 35% 35% 34%
The Nationals 6.8% 5% 5% 6%
Total Coalition 44.8% 40% 40% 40%
Labor Party 36.2% 38% 39% 39%
The Greens 11.2% 13% 13% 13%
Another party or an independent candidate 7.8% 9% 8% 8%

3% uncommitted or refused excluded

Thinking about state politics. If a state election for Victoria was held today, which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred

Election Nov 2010 22/24 Oct 2014 18/19 Nov 2014 25/26 Nov 2014
Coalition 51.6% 48% 48% 48%
Labor 48.4% 52% 52% 52%

Better Premier

25/26 Nov 2014 Supporters
22/24 Oct 2014 18/19 Nov 2014 Total Coaltion Labor
Denis Napthine 43% 42% 41% 83% 12%
Daniel Andrews 27% 30% 38% 5% 71%
Uncommitted 30% 28% 21% 12% 17%

Thinking now about the leaders of the parties. Who do you think would make the better Premier?

These surveys were conducted by Galaxy Research. The most recent survey was administered on the evenings of 25 and 26 November 2014. The results are based on the opinions of 1,090 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the Victorian population.

19/20 Nov 2014

COALITION SUPPORT INCREASING UNDER BAIRD

The Coalition has increased its lead over Labor under Mike Baird and the Liberal leader enjoys a commanding lead over John Robertson on the better Premier question.

Primary Vote

Election Mar 2011 26/28 May 2014 20/21 Aug 2014 19/20 Nov 2014
The Labor Party 25.6% 37% 35% 34%
The Liberal Party 38.6% 38% 40% 40%
The Nationals 12.5% 5% 5% 6%
Total Coalition 51.1% 43% 45% 46%
The Greens 10.3% 11% 11% 11%
Another party or an independent candidate 13.0% 9% 9% 9%

6% uncommitted or refused excluded

Thinking about state politics. If a state election for New South Wales was held today, which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred

Election Mar 2011 26/28 May 2014 20/21 Aug 2014 19/20 Nov 2014
The Labor Party 35.8% 47% 45% 44%
Coalition 64.2% 53% 55% 56%

Better Premier

19/20 Nov 2014 Supporters
26/28 May 2014 Total Labor Coalition
Mike Baird 43% 49% 30% 72%
John Robertson 11% 18% 36% 7%
Uncommitted 46% 33% 34% 21%

Thinking now about the leaders of the parties. Who do you think would make the better Premier?

These surveys were conducted by Galaxy Research. The most recent survey was administered on the evenings of 19 and 20 of November 2014. The results are based on the opinions of 938 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the population of NSW.


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