2-4 November 2012

FEDERAL LEADERS FAIL TO IMPRESS

The majority of voters do not believe Julia Gillard’s account of events in the plot to dump Kevin Rudd and the former leader is still considered the best choice to lead the Labor Party.

But Tony Abbott is also facing a crisis of confidence with the majority of voters of the opinion that Malcolm Turnbull would be a better choice of leader for the federal Liberal Party.

Primary Vote

Election Aug 2010 27-29 April 2012 15-17 June 2012 2-4 Nov 2012
Labor Party 38.0% 30% 31% 35%
Coalition 43.6% 49% 49% 47%
The Greens 11.8% 13% 12% 11%
Another Party or an independent candidate 6.6% 8% 8% 7%

8% uncommitted or refused excluded

 

Thinking about federal politics. If a federal election for the house of representatives was held today, which one of the following would you vote for?

Two party preferred

Election Aug 2010 27-29 April 2012 15-17 June 2012 2-4 Nov 2012
Labor Party 50.1% 44% 44% 47%
Coalition 49.9% 56% 56% 53%

Best choice for Labor leader

23-24 Feb 2012 2-4 November 2012 Supporters
Total Labor
Coalition
Kevin Rudd 52% 49% 39% 57%
Julia Gillard 26% 34% 57% 19%
Uncommitted 22% 17% 4% 24%

Thinking just about the leadership of the Labor Party.  Which one of the following do you believe would be the best choice for leader of the federal Labor Party?

Best choice for Liberal leader

Supporters
Total Labor
Coalition
Malcolm Turnbull 60% 75% 51%
Tony Abbott 29% 14% 45%
Uncommitted 11% 11% 4%

And which one of the following do you believe would be the best choice for leader of the federal Liberal Party?

Believe Julia Gillard

Supporters
Total Labor
Coalition
Yes 25% 42% 11%
No 63% 44% 81%
Uncommitted 12% 14% 8%


It has been suggested recently that Julia Gillard was involved in the plot to dump Kevin Rudd from the leadership.  Julia Gillard has denied this accusation and claims that she only became involved in the plan on the day of the leadership ballot.  On balance, do you believe Julia Gillard’s account of the events leading up to the leadership spill?

These surveys were conducted by Galaxy Research.  The most recent survey was administered on the weekend of 2-4 November 2012.  The results are based on the opinions of 1,003 voters.  The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the Australian population.



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